Friday, July 14, 2006

Can The Democrats Regain Senate Control? Doubtful, But With More Races Are In Play, Here's A Roadmap


Winning the House is more important than the Senate. The House is where impeachment begins.

A simple parity will be fine for the Senate. If the House votes to impeach, the senators who are up for re-election in 2008 will be very mindful of public opinion polls.

JABBS: Can The Democrats Regain Senate Control? Doubtful, But With More Races Are In Play, Here's A Roadmap:

With four months to go until Election Day, the odds the Democratic Party will regain control of the Senate remain doubtful.

But things are getting interesting. Some races that three months ago looked out of reach are now toss-ups. Others have Democrats in striking distance.

It's enough to make some pundits take a second look at the map, and take into consideration the possibility that a larger than previously expected number of Democrats may be motivated to vote this November, while a larger than previously expected number of Republicans either switch loyalties or stay home.

Republicans currently have a 55-44-1 advantage in the Senate, so only a fantastic day by the Democrats will allow them to regain control. But support for the party has been waning, in part because support for President Bush and Vice President Cheney has been historically poor, Republicans have unsuccessfully substituted name-calling for policy in dealing with the increasingly unpopular Iraq War, and well-publicized negatives like the Jack Abramoff scandal have been tied to the GOP.

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